PDA

View Full Version : Luxury property market has 'practically collapsed' - economist



Kelonguni
15-06-12, 12:30
By Romesh Navaratnarajah (https://plus.google.com/100211889324198007685/about?hl=en):

Given present market conditions, it is less likely that the government will roll out new property cooling measures, said economist Chua Hak Bin from Bank of America Merrill Lynch (Singapore).

“A fragile economic outlook and softness in the broader property market suggests that another round of measures may be unwarranted at this point. The last round of measures in December last year already dealt quite a severe blow to overall sentiment and transaction,” said Chua in a report titled ‘Singapore: More property measures?’

In the first quarter, private home prices slipped 0.1 percent compared to the 0.2 percent rise seen in Q1 2011. In addition, he noted that transaction values and volumes plunged 26 and 14 percent respectively in Q4 2011, as a result of the latest curbs.

The luxury property market, which covers residential properties (http://www.propertyguru.com.sg/condo-directory) worth more than S$5 million, has also “practically collapsed”, as the segment witnessed a 61 percent decline in transactions.

As expected, foreign buying activity dropped considerably (http://www.propertyguru.com.sg/property-management-news/2012/2/32297/foreign-buying-may-suffer-due-to-absd), recording a muted 22.7 percent share of all transactions in the first five months of 2012, down from 34.7 percent over the same period last year. The decline was attributed to the introduction of the additional buyer’s stamp duty (ABSD).

On the whole, foreign purchasers dropped 48 percent from last year.

However, some foreign buyers, especially those from the US, Norway, Switzerland, Liechtenstein and Iceland, were exempted from the ABSD due to bilateral free trade agreements.

Chua said that buyers from those exempted countries sustained their buying habits post-ABSD, a further indication of the impact the cooling measures have had on dampening foreign buying.

Leeds
15-06-12, 13:10
If market is not expected to move up in the medium term due to the poor outlook, there is no reason to buy now especially for the rich who buy purely for investment purposes. That is how they maintain their wealth. There will of course some rich guys continue to buy to diversify their portfolio. They may find that between the devil and the deep sea, Singapore could well be the better devil in the longer term.

sh
15-06-12, 13:21
Maybe we don't need "residential properties (http://www.propertyguru.com.sg/condo-directory) worth more than S$5 million":tsk-tsk:

Who cares if the segment "witnessed a 61 percent decline in transactions":beats-me-man:

All the CMs has only successed in distorting the market towards more smaller quantum MMs.

Love it or hate it, MMs are here to stay.

Poloclub
15-06-12, 13:30
If market is not expected to move up in the medium term due to the poor outlook, there is no reason to buy now especially for the rich who buy purely for investment purposes. That is how they maintain their wealth. There will of course some rich guys continue to buy to diversify their portfolio. They may find that between the devil and the deep sea, Singapore could well be the better devil in the longer term.

You are right on that. With the stock market continue to go yo yo, and central banks pumping money, the best bet will still to buy physical assets such as property or gold. And among the Asia regions, I still think that Singapore property offer the least risk and best long term yield.

For the rich, they already have enough money for this life, and what they are looking for is to preserve their wealth for the future generations. So its a no brainer for them to pick up FH properties in Singapore.

radha08
15-06-12, 13:33
You are right on that. With the stock market continue to go yo yo, and central banks pumping money, the best bet will still to buy physical assets such as property or gold. And among the Asia regions, I still think that Singapore property offer the least risk and best long term yield.

For the rich, they already have enough money for this life, and what they are looking for is to preserve their wealth for the future generations. So its a no brainer for them to pick up FH properties in Singapore.

may the rich HUAT and poor SUFFER:doh: