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View Full Version : Are we really at record property high price? Really?



leesg123
15-09-12, 14:47
Many like to compare the current situation to the 1997 property high price. But if you were to adjust current price to 1997 $ value (due to inflation), are we really at record high? We all know that $1m in 1997 is so much more valuable than $1m in 2012.

GDP in 1997 vs GDP now.

Average household income in 1997 vs now.

Some food for thoughts and topic for discussion over the weekend!:cheers4:
Hence, more room for growth or are we really that high?

yowetan
15-09-12, 14:55
Many like to compare the current situation to the 1997 property high price. But if you were to adjust current price to 1997 $ value (due to inflation), are we really at record high? We all know that $1m in 1997 is so much more valuable than $1m in 2012.

GDP in 1997 vs GDP now.

Average household income in 1997 vs now.

Some food for thoughts and topic for discussion over the weekend!:cheers4:
Hence, more room for growth or are we really that high?


I think property has not peak.

leesg123
15-09-12, 15:11
I think property has not peak.
From http://www.sgpolitics.net/?p=3693:
(http://www.sgpolitics.net/?p=3693:)According to the Singapore Department of Statistics website, the average household monthly income rose from $5,322 in 1997/98 to $7,440 in 2007/2008 at an average annual rate of only 3.4%.

auroraborealis
15-09-12, 15:36
according to this, inflation adjusted prices have yet break previous high... question is whether previous high will be strong resistance or can be easily break through

http://www.h88.com.sg/images/content/2012-09-13/BT_20120908_HLMONEY8_155031.pdf

Arcachon
15-09-12, 15:46
according to this, inflation adjusted prices have yet break previous high... question is whether previous high will be strong resistance or can be easily break through

http://www.h88.com.sg/images/content/2012-09-13/BT_20120908_HLMONEY8_155031.pdf

In 1988, I can buy 4 room HDB for SGD 83,000.

In 1997, I can only buy 5 room HDB for SGD 250,000 and 3 room HDB for SGD 65,000.

In 2006, I can buy 2 Bedroom for SGD 535,000.

In 2011, I can buy 3 Bedroom PH for SGD 1350600.

Whereas my monthly salary now reduce by half since 2006 and my wife lost her monthly income and become a housewife. :beats-me-man:

What is salary adjusted and inflation adjusted?:beats-me-man:

kane
15-09-12, 16:43
Fortunately you have southbank.

leesg123
15-09-12, 17:52
according to this, inflation adjusted prices have yet break previous high... question is whether previous high will be strong resistance or can be easily break through

http://www.h88.com.sg/images/content/2012-09-13/BT_20120908_HLMONEY8_155031.pdf
Thank you! This sums it all up! Basically, after inflation adjustment, we are stillnot at the previous peak, not only that, our economy gdp is significantly higher than in 97 period.

leesg123
15-09-12, 18:08
Thank you! This sums it all up! Basically, after inflation adjustment, we are stillnot at the previous peak, not only that, our economy gdp is significantly higher than in 97 period.
http://www.h88.com.sg/article/Business+Times+says+there+is+no+property+bubble/

That is the link to the article.

Arcachon
15-09-12, 18:28
Fortunately you have southbank.

You are right, I miss the waterbank otherwise I would have two Bank.

leesg123
15-09-12, 19:07
In 1988, I can buy 4 room HDB for SGD 83,000.

In 1997, I can only buy 5 room HDB for SGD 250,000 and 3 room HDB for SGD 65,000.

In 2006, I can buy 2 Bedroom for SGD 535,000.

In 2011, I can buy 3 Bedroom PH for SGD 1350600.

Whereas my monthly salary now reduce by half since 2006 and my wife lost her monthly income and become a housewife. :beats-me-man:

What is salary adjusted and inflation adjusted?:beats-me-man:
Stats is looking at the overall situation, your story or experience could jolly well be an outlier and does not reflect the general situation.

In 1997, i can only afford to rent a common room while study uni for $350.

In early 2000 got my 5 rm hdb for 380k

In late 2000s sold hdb and upgrade to penthouse in east coast for about $1m

Last year bought two luxury condo at klcc area. This year, looking at d9, 10, 11.

Salary grew from $0 in 1997 to $150k last year. Pretty much match the chart. Nowadays, so many people earning more than 100k per annum. Combine household could be 200-300 k.

Arcachon
15-09-12, 20:32
Stats is looking at the overall situation, your story or experience could jolly well be an outlier and does not reflect the general situation.

In 1997, i can only afford to rent a common room while study uni for $350.

In early 2000 got my 5 rm hdb for 380k

In late 2000s sold hdb and upgrade to penthouse in east coast for about $1m

Last year bought two luxury condo at klcc area. This year, looking at d9, 10, 11.

Salary grew from $0 in 1997 to $150k last year. Pretty much match the chart. Nowadays, so many people earning more than 100k per annum. Combine household could be 200-300 k.

Conclusion - If you are in the government service your salary will only lag and the Top 1 % can only match. Southbank must be God gift can't be due to luck.:not-worthy:

leesg123
15-09-12, 21:11
Conclusion - If you are in the government service your salary will only lag and the Top 1 % can only match. Southbank must be God gift can't be due to luck.:not-worthy:
And i belong to just the middle income nia. Top 1% are buying those that are tens of millions.

ysyap
15-09-12, 21:49
And i belong to just the middle income nia. Top 1% are buying those that are tens of millions.$300k household income is not just middle class. Its upper class, just not the top 1% which you used to compare! Middle class is about $100k (going at $7xxx/mth). :)

ekl2ekl2
15-09-12, 21:59
Stats is looking at the overall situation, your story or experience could jolly well be an outlier and does not reflect the general situation.

In 1997, i can only afford to rent a common room while study uni for $350.

In early 2000 got my 5 rm hdb for 380k

In late 2000s sold hdb and upgrade to penthouse in east coast for about $1m

Last year bought two luxury condo at klcc area. This year, looking at d9, 10, 11.

Salary grew from $0 in 1997 to $150k last year. Pretty much match the chart. Nowadays, so many people earning more than 100k per annum. Combine household could be 200-300 k.

Even with 150k salary, how did you manage to buy/own 3-4 condos and looking to buy more with current 60% LTV and ABSD.

kane
15-09-12, 22:31
You are right, I miss the waterbank otherwise I would have two Bank.

Waterbank is a smaller bank. Even city square would be better.

buttercarp
15-09-12, 22:48
Got a friend with 3 kids ranging from teenager to undergraduate, all staying with her.
Husband is self employed.
They stay in 3 BR unit about 1200 sq ft.
Recently they bought a porsche cayenne and 7 series BMW.
I wonder why they can buy 2 luxury cars but they squeeze into such a small unit?
They have been looking for a landed for the past 2 years but none has met up to their expectation.

stiook
16-09-12, 00:17
Got a friend with 3 kids ranging from teenager to undergraduate, all staying with her.
Husband is self employed.
They stay in 3 BR unit about 1200 sq ft.
Recently they bought a porsche cayenne and 7 series BMW.
I wonder why they can buy 2 luxury cars but they squeeze into such a small unit?
They have been looking for a landed for the past 2 years but none has met up to their expectation.

Same theory as those who stay in HDB and drive 5 series maybe? Prices out of reach so pamper onself in another way.

kane
16-09-12, 00:49
Got a friend with 3 kids ranging from teenager to undergraduate, all staying with her.
Husband is self employed.
They stay in 3 BR unit about 1200 sq ft.
Recently they bought a porsche cayenne and 7 series BMW.
I wonder why they can buy 2 luxury cars but they squeeze into such a small unit?
They have been looking for a landed for the past 2 years but none has met up to their expectation.

Too much money in bank. Itchy must spend. That will settle their craving to spend in the meantime.

leesg123
16-09-12, 01:02
Got a friend with 3 kids ranging from teenager to undergraduate, all staying with her.
Husband is self employed.
They stay in 3 BR unit about 1200 sq ft.
Recently they bought a porsche cayenne and 7 series BMW.
I wonder why they can buy 2 luxury cars but they squeeze into such a small unit?
They have been looking for a landed for the past 2 years but none has met up to their expectation.they have waited and waited and prices have climbed higher and higher.

leesg123
16-09-12, 01:05
Even with 150k salary, how did you manage to buy/own 3-4 condos and looking to buy more with current 60% LTV and ABSD.1st, sold off hdb. got profit to roll.
2nd, no car. car is an arsehole. my theory is car = 1 property.
3rd, being a saver. didnt anyhow hantam branded goods, or dine at fine dining or restaurant. i noticed many like to dine at rest, each meal easily $80-$100 for a family. imagine do this 2 times a week, 8 times a month. that money can service a condo interest liao.

CondoWE
16-09-12, 09:51
1st, sold off hdb. got profit to roll.
2nd, no car. car is an arsehole. my theory is car = 1 property.
3rd, being a saver. didnt anyhow hantam branded goods, or dine at fine dining or restaurant. i noticed many like to dine at rest, each meal easily $80-$100 for a family. imagine do this 2 times a week, 8 times a month. that money can service a condo interest liao.

Same thought. In the office, my colleague call me mountain turtle b'cos I dun really go clubbing, nite life, dine at restaurant, tour yearly...like them. But I m richer than them for sure as their income is left hand in and right hand out to enjoy life even they are now in early 40 :scared-1: !

leesg123
16-09-12, 10:14
:cheers4: Hi 5 bro!
Same thought. In the office, my colleague call me mountain turtle b'cos I dun really go clubbing, nite life, dine at restaurant, tour yearly...like them. But I m richer than them for sure as their income is left hand in and right hand out to enjoy life even they are now in early 40 :scared-1: !

carbuncle
16-09-12, 12:41
I think have to strike a balance between scourge and spendthrift. Moderation is key....

We can save as much as we want but are we certain we have the fortune to live long enough to enjoy it?

Congress
16-09-12, 12:55
I think have to strike a balance between scourge and spendthrift. Moderation is key....

We can save as much as we want but are we certain we have the fortune to live long enough to enjoy it?

Agree! What for you earn so much but never enjoy. Only money you spent is yours:p

buttercarp
16-09-12, 12:59
Got a friend with 3 kids ranging from teenager to undergraduate, all staying with her.
Husband is self employed.
They stay in 3 BR unit about 1200 sq ft.
Recently they bought a porsche cayenne and 7 series BMW.
I wonder why they can buy 2 luxury cars but they squeeze into such a small unit?
They have been looking for a landed for the past 2 years but none has met up to their expectation.


Too much money in bank. Itchy must spend. That will settle their craving to spend in the meantime.

Yup.... wife carries designer bags.
Each time I see her, she carry a different bag.
Every quarterly (sch hol) they will go on hoilday.
Now they also bought car for the undergrad child.



they have waited and waited and prices have climbed higher and higher.

Yup....looks like they have to stay put in their place for the time being.

DC33_2008
16-09-12, 13:01
It is rather subjective on what is the worth of an item. Some willing to spend a few hundred thousand on a car which is equivalent to a 3 room hdb flat. Some like status while some does not think it is important. :confused:

buttercarp
16-09-12, 13:03
It is rather subjective on what is the worth of an item. Some willing to spend a few hundred thousand on a car which is equivalent to a 3 room hdb flat. Some like status while some does not think it is important. :confused:

I guess so......
But some need luxury cars to impress their clients.

DC33_2008
16-09-12, 13:07
Wanted to buy a Beemer but spouse said car is a mean of transport to bring family from point A to point B. Just drive a small toyota.
I guess so......
But some need luxury cars to impress their clients.

CondoInterested
16-09-12, 13:42
Woodlands COV SGD130k. What's next?

buttercarp
16-09-12, 18:32
Wanted to buy a Beemer but spouse said car is a mean of transport to bring family from point A to point B. Just drive a small toyota.
Your spouse is wise.
If your job does not need you to impress anyone, then it is wiser not to get a flashy car.



Woodlands COV SGD130k. What's next?

The property fever is making people delirious.

phantom_opera
16-09-12, 21:55
Woodlands COV SGD130k. What's next?

:not-worthy:

Who is the buyer??

eng81157
16-09-12, 22:03
Woodlands COV SGD130k. What's next?

KenoBiWan commits hari-kiri :scared-3: :scared-1:

CondoInterested
16-09-12, 22:21
:not-worthy:

Who is the buyer??Confirm not me!

Found this flyer in my letter box.

Almost fainted when seeing this, lucky still able to make my way back home to upload this.

kane
16-09-12, 22:24
they blow big cannon is it?

CondoInterested
16-09-12, 22:26
they blow big cannon is it?Yalor, maybe hor.

phantom_opera
16-09-12, 22:26
http://www.propertyguru.com.sg/listing/hdb-for-sale-147-simei-street-2-11242287

Now this Simei EM is asking 200,000 above valuation @ 840k ... Queenstown 1m, Simei 800k+

:scared-3:

kane
16-09-12, 22:28
just do a search on hdb's website to see whether such a transaction has been lodged.

Arcachon
16-09-12, 22:47
Yup.... wife carries designer bags.
Each time I see her, she carry a different bag.
Every quarterly (sch hol) they will go on hoilday.
Now they also bought car for the undergrad child.

Yup....looks like they have to stay put in their place for the time being.

You can spend sometime on this to understand why they are doing it.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OBPsdJAzBC0

They "Mind their own business".

stiook
16-09-12, 23:06
Same thought. In the office, my colleague call me mountain turtle b'cos I dun really go clubbing, nite life, dine at restaurant, tour yearly...like them. But I m richer than them for sure as their income is left hand in and right hand out to enjoy life even they are now in early 40 :scared-1: !

Must always balance... if one has to live like a pauper just to stay in private or landed, does it make sense?

I rather enjoy now rather than live like a King tomorrow for you never know if will live to see that day.

Moderation.

samuelk
17-09-12, 08:36
Must always balance... if one has to live like a pauper just to stay in private or landed, does it make sense?

I rather enjoy now rather than live like a King tomorrow for you never know if will live to see that day.

Moderation.
there a few classification of the people plan

bitter now sweet later
sweet now worry about bitter later
the last catergory is the one I worry about the most
sweet now sweeter later
because everyone thinks the economy can only gets better as we are already in the low, but lucky to be insulatef.:scared-3:

christo
20-09-12, 23:03
there a few classification of the people plan

bitter now sweet later
sweet now worry about bitter later
the last catergory is the one I worry about the most
sweet now sweeter later
because everyone thinks the economy can only gets better as we are already in the low, but lucky to be insulatef.:scared-3:

Another permutation whereby....Bitter now but when it's about time for sweetness, tragedy struck.

Then, it doesnt make sense for all the bitterness initially.
Thus, balance it and enjoy within means + some for investment.