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reporter2
06-05-15, 19:45
http://www.straitstimes.com/archive/wednesday/premium/money/story/resale-prices-private-flats-inch-20150429-0

Resale prices of private flats inch up

Uptick in SRPI for March hints at slowdown in price fall, experts say

Published on Apr 29, 2015 3:06 AM

By Rennie Whang


PRICES of completed private non-landed homes rose by a slight 0.2 per cent last month over February, on average, the first increase since last October.

The uptick in the flash estimates of the Singapore Residential Price Index (SRPI) seems to indicate a slowdown in price declines, experts say.

It follows a revised 0.2 per cent drop in February and 0.9 per cent drop in January.

"There are too few data points to point conclusively to a trend, but there is some indication of a stagnant market," said Century 21 chief executive Ku Swee Yong. There were 318 resales last month and 314 in February, according to caveats lodged.

According to estimates by the National University of Singapore's Institute of Real Estate Studies, which compiles the index, overall resale prices have fallen 3.3 per cent from a year ago, and 9.1 per cent from their peak in July 2013.

The rise last month was boosted by non-central units, which saw a 0.3 per cent month-on-month gain. Resale prices of central units - those in districts 1 to 4 and 9 to 11 - were up 0.1 per cent. Resale prices of small units, defined as those with a floor area of 506 sq ft or less, slid 0.4 per cent month on month.

Year on year, central units have seen the largest slide in prices, down 4.4 per cent. Their prices are down 12 per cent from their peak in May 2013.

Resale prices of small units are down 2.8 per cent year on year, and 7.9 per cent from their peak in August 2013.

This segment's slide so far has partly been caused by suburban shoebox units starting to come onstream last year, said R'ST Research director Ong Kah Seng. Prior to that, shoebox apartments were mainly in the central region.

Suburban shoebox units have "untested leasing demand" and the monthly price fall could be because many of these resale units were untenanted, lending buyers bargaining power, he added.

Resale prices of non-central units have held up the best, with only a 2.2 per cent year-on-year decline, and are 7.4 per cent down from their peak in April 2013.

This could have been due to resales of more recently completed units, which tend to be smaller in size and with a higher price per sq ft, said Mr Ong.

Yesterday's estimates came after figures from the Urban Redevelopment Authority last Friday showed private home prices have fallen 5.9 per cent from their peak in the third quarter of 2013.

While different methodologies are used and a higher volume is typically seen for new sales, this could suggest that resale prices are falling faster than new sale prices, said Mr Ku.

The overall SRPI is expected to fall by 3 to 6 per cent year on year this year, said SLP International executive director Nicholas Mak.

[email protected]

reporter2
06-05-15, 19:54
http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/real-estate/resale-condo-prices-edge-up-02-in-march-flash-estimates-show

Resale condo prices edge up 0.2% in March, flash estimates show

But analysts say this small rise does not signal a recovery; prices of small units down amid abundant supply

By Lee Meixian

[email protected]@LeeMeixianBT

29 Apr


PRICES of completed non-landed private homes in Singapore rose 0.2 per cent in March over February, according to the National University of Singapore (NUS) index's flash estimates released on Tuesday.

This was expected due to pent-up buyer interest after the Chinese New Year. Both property buyers and sellers take a break during the festive period, consultants say.

But March's price increase was very small, noted R'ST Research director Ong Kah Seng, which showed that sellers did not raise prices because they understood that buyers are now prudent, opportunistic and hunting for bargains.

"Buyers also prefer to reserve their TDSR (total debt servicing ratio) limits for purchase of developer sales, which are newer in design, and there might be potential for more price cuts in developer projects in the months ahead," he said.

SLP International executive director Nicholas Mak noted that the rate of decline of the price index appears to be slowing down, but it is unclear if the slowdown is sustainable.

"Monthly statistics can be rather volatile, so we will need to observe the changes in the index for the next few months before we can be certain. Such deceleration in the contraction of the price index had occurred before in August and October 2014. However, the trend reversed when the rate of price decline accelerated again in November 2014 to January 2015."

The sub-index for Central Region (excluding small units of up to 506 square feet) rose 0.1 per cent in March.

Central Region is defined by the university's Institute of Real Estate Studies (IRES) as districts 1-4, including the financial district and Sentosa Cove, plus the traditional prime districts of 9, 10 and 11.

Mr Ong said this was not a sign of recovery for prime resale homes; neither was it a signal that prices there are stabilising. "The flat price was a random monthly occurrence amid cautious investor interest for high-end properties," he said.

The sub-index for Non-Central Region (again excluding small units) rose 0.3 per cent in March, which could be due to more transactions of smaller units taking place as a result of loan limits and affordability reasons. Such units would come with a higher per-square-foot price tag.

Islandwide prices of small apartment and condo units eased 0.4 per cent, however. These small units were in hot demand from 2010 to 2012 when they were launched in rapid succession, but resale prices of completed small units are now suffering from the market's huge supply.

The months ahead may see more price volatility for completed properties in suburban areas, Mr Ong said.

"In the months where there are new projects launched or expected to be launching at attractive prices, buyers will scale down their search for a resale unit. Only in months where there are limited project launches offered will buyers with ready financing capabilities consider resale properties.

"Resale property buyers are actually more savvy and actively do their homework and negotiate for lower prices, compared to buyers of condominiums from developers who can only accept or reject the prices set by developers."

IRES also published the revised index values for February, which showed overall prices falling 0.2 per cent from January, a gentler decline than the 0.3 per cent drop it had earlier estimated.