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View Full Version : Buying Attitude Index - Q1 2017


richwang
28-01-17, 21:17
Why this index?
In Singapore, there is no official buyer-driven (not developer-driven) index to show Buyers' Attitude for residential properties. This forum is the best place to fill in that gap.

How does it work?
Everyone is entitled for one vote, the index is calculated by:
the percentage of bulls - percentage of bears
(Please vote even if you are neutral because it will change the overall percentage scores).

Historical Numbers:

Quarter, Votes, Index
Q4 2012, 65, +12
Q1 2013, 35, +6
Q2 2013, 56, 0
Q3, 2013, 59, -34
Q4, 2013, 53, -45
Q1, 2014, 45, -33
Q2, 2014, 43, -44
Q3, 2014, 48, -19
Q4, 2014, 29, +14
Q1, 2015, 29, +7
Q2, 2015, 20, +15
Q3, 2015, 16, +56
Q4, 2015, 7, +28
Q1, 2016, 12, +34
Q2, 2016, 16, +32
Q3, 2016, 16, +81
Q4, 2016, 11, +64
(The max of the index is 100, the minimum of the index is -100)

In a money printing new world, Singapore was one of the few major cities with a negative property price movement for the past 3 years. Will we play a catch up to have a price jump? In particular if Feb Budget is hinting anything to tweek the cooling measures.
On the other hand, a long overdue global market crash could be on its way in 2017/2018. That would push everything down: employment, stocks and property.

Your vote will give us a hint.

Thanks,
Richard
richwang
29-01-17, 14:02
Number of votes: 4
index: 50 - 25 = +25
richwang
31-01-17, 21:17
Number of votes: 5
Index: 40 - 40 = 0
richwang
13-02-17, 20:21
Number of votes: 10
Index: 40 - 40 = 0

Sounds like the group has sensed something wrong is coming?
richwang
13-02-17, 20:22
If u look at the voter list, a few long term bulls have turned bears.
Kelonguni
13-02-17, 20:49
Number of votes: 10
Index: 40 - 40 = 0

Sounds like the group has sensed something wrong is coming?

Which part of the tunnel is the "darkest"?
stalingrad
13-02-17, 21:04
Which part of the tunnel is the "darkest"?

Bet you $1 that some or all of the cooling measures will be repealed in the coming budget announcement. The economy is crashing left and right, and China is going to build Kra Canal.
bargain hunter
14-02-17, 18:39
If u look at the voter list, a few long term bulls have turned bears.

but normally u would say that there are insufficient voters?
star
14-02-17, 22:17
I am quite bullish still.
Kelonguni
14-02-17, 23:07
Minimum bet $100 lah.

The tide is already turning, crashing only o n g sector and maybe more loss for banks. The rest as per normal.


Bet you $1 that some or all of the cooling measures will be repealed in the coming budget announcement. The economy is crashing left and right, and China is going to build Kra Canal.
richwang
21-02-17, 21:27
Number of votes: 12
Index: 50 - 33 = 17

True, the number of votes is too small.