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Thread: Time to build up land banks

  1. #1
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    Default Time to build up land banks

    http://www.todayonline.com/Business/...-up-land-banks

    Time to build up land banks

    Land prices stabilising as they have reached their peak: Analysts

    by Jo-Ann Huang Limin

    05:55 AM Nov 26, 2010


    SINGAPORE - The time is ripe for real estate developers to build up their land banks as land prices are stabilising, according to analysts.

    According to Nomura's latest Singapore property report, the recent tender for the 13,000-sq-m Upper Serangoon View site attracted "very tight" bids.

    The top bid, put in jointly by Frasers Centrepoint, Far East Civil Engineering and Japanese developers Sekisui House, was $156.8 million, or $320 per square foot (psf) per plot ratio (ppr).

    The next highest bid, tendered by unlisted developer Centurion, was around $152.9 million - a difference of only 2.6 per cent.

    "The bids received were among the tightest for government land sales tenders since August last year and this could suggest developers' expectations of land prices are approaching common ground," the Nomura report said.

    The narrowing of bids came despite the relatively lukewarm response to the tender. The Upper Serangoon View site attracted four bids, compared with six for the 15,630-sq-m Hougang Avenue 7 site.

    The highest bid for the Hougang Avenue 7 site was $160 million, or $340 psf ppr, by Sim Lian Land.

    Land prices are stabilising as they have reached their peak, noted Mr Colin Tan, head of research and consultancy at Chesterton Suntec International. They have tapered off from mid-year levels of $450 to $600 psf to about $350 to $400 psf, analysts say.

    Now that the Ministry of National Development has announced the Government Land Sales programme for the first half of next year, future tenders may also see fewer bids as developers "conserve their resources for the new sites", said Mr Nicholas Mak, executive director of research at SLP International.

    On the other hand, competition for land could become more intense with the rising influx of foreign developers, analysts say.

    Chinese developer MCC Land launched an executive condominium, The Canopy, in Yishun early last month.

    Meanwhile, Japanese developers Sekisui House and Mitsui Fudosan have collaborated with local partners, a trend which will likely continue as this is the easiest way to break into a new market, analysts say.

    "As foreign developers see less upside in their own home markets, they will be tempted to invest overseas," said Mr Tan.

    The rising Singapore dollar is also an attraction, as it translates into higher capital values for Singapore properties.

    Allowing foreign developers to bid for land could also benefit home buyers.

    "They could bring in new ideas. Greater competition could produce better products or lower prices for consumers," said Mr Tan.

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    after running low on landbank, with the government aggressive pushing land for sale, now's the time of course, otherwise, they'll have to go en bloc existing residents from their homes.

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    Quote Originally Posted by kane
    after running low on landbank, with the government aggressive pushing land for sale, now's the time of course, otherwise, they'll have to go en bloc existing residents from their homes.
    Or have further cooling measures which would push demand to resale and subsale instead of new lanches. Less or no flipping and speculative activities,

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    of course it is time to build land banks. did the government released a lot of land during a recession? goverment released lots of land only when prices are good, ie economy is good.

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    Land prices is going to climb higher in the current condition.

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    Quote Originally Posted by DC33_2008
    Land prices is going to climb higher in the current condition.
    You get the idea...

    Land getting more expansive as developers need to grab these near MRT sites..

    Then construction also going up and up.. has it come down?

    Then cut the size of new developments to support higher PSF price.

    Using EC as benchmark... condo's should never be cheaper than a EC.

    If EC is more expansive, might as well get condo.

    But if EC is really cheap... good luck lor...

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