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Published March 26, 2011
En bloc deals, hotels shine in property investment sales
This despite overall investment sales so far this quarter falling from the high base in Q42010, report CBRE and Savills
By KALPANA RASHIWALA
COLLECTIVE sales and hotels have been two bright stars in the property investment sales sector so far this quarter, despite overall investment sales since the start of the year falling from the high base in the fourth quarter of 2010, according to CB Richard Ellis (CBRE) and Savills Singapore in separate reports.
Savills said that investment sales of property have slipped about 43 per cent quarter on quarter, from $11.8 billion in Q4 last year to $6.7 billion so far this quarter.
However, the quarter-to-date figure for Q1 2011 was 31.9 per cent higher than that for Q1 2010.
The declines were generally across the residential, commercial and industrial property segments following the high base in Q4 2010 when several mega deals were recorded, such as K-Reit Asia's and Suntec Reit's respective purchases of a one-third stake each in Marina Bay Financial Centre's phase one for $1.43 billion and $1.5 billion, as well as the then newly listed Sabana Reit's acquisition of its industrial properties, noted Savills.
The property consultancy includes deals of all sizes for land and block/bulk transactions; however, for individual strata-titled units (such as apartments and office units) and shophouses, it counts deals only if they are at least $10 million.
CBRE's report also showed a decline in investment sales from $11.3 billion in Q4 last year to $7.2 billion this quarter. However, the latest figure is 66.6 per cent ahead of the Q1 2010 number.
CBRE executive director (investment properties) Jeremy Lake said: 'The impact from Japan's recent earthquake and unfolding geopolitical events is likely to affect Singapore's growth to some extent. Total investment sales could exceed $20-25 billion this year, but is unlikely to match last year's $29.38 billion.'
These figures are based on CBRE's revised minimum price criterion for an investment sale deal of $10 million, instead of $5 million previously.
Savills executive director and head of investment sales Steven Ming said that the big challenge for real estate investors today is 'buying into a right opportunity at sensible pricing'.
'We're in a very unique market where there is abundant liquidity and cheap financing but against a backdrop of global uncertainties. The resultant effect is a shift among investors to income-yielding assets and (thus), a compression of yields in the office and industrial sectors.'
Savills said that the number of homes with over $10 million price tags has dropped significantly, probably due to the latest Jan 13 property cooling measures.
On a brighter note, the property consultancy highlighted a pickup in collective sales activity with four transactions in Q1 of over $100 million each - compared with only three such deals between 2008 and 2010.
'However, the jury is still out whether this will see the larger collective sale sites being sold.'
CBRE said that there have been seven collective sales so far this quarter totalling $603.7 million, compared with nine deals at $511.5 million in the preceding quarter.
Total residential investment sales including Good Class Bungalows accounted for 43 per cent of the quarter's total investment sales or $3.1 billion in transacted value. This was 21.5 per cent lower than the $3.96 billion residential investment deals in the October-December 2010 period but 51.7 per cent higher than the $2.05 billion tally for Q1 2010.
Savills said that there had been only one bulk sale of apartments in new developments this quarter - Straits Trading's $50.8 million purchase of 14 units in The Holland Collection.
'Investors remain interested but are generally expecting a deeper bulk discount to buffer the impact of the seller's stamp duty. However, vendors are not prepared to entertain these discounts at this stage as strata sales are still taking place albeit at a slower but steady rate and prices are holding.'
CBRE said that the hotel sector burst into life in Q1 with $875 million of deals done to date or a 12.1 per cent share of total investments sales through three Government Land Sale sites and two private-sector deals.
The office investment market has also been active this quarter, accounting for 26.6 per cent or $1.9 billion of total investment sales, CBRE said.
The biggest transaction was Alpha Investment Partners and NTUC Income's purchase of Capital Square from Ergo Insurance for $889 million or $2,300 per square foot of net lettable area.
Retail space made up $738 million or 10.2 per cent of total investment sales in Q1.
CapitaMall Trust picked up Iluma in the Bugis area for $295 million.
The industrial sector accounted for 7.9 per cent of total investment sales or $570.1 million, said CBRE.