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Thread: S'pore housing heading for a downturn, says developer

  1. #1
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    Default S'pore housing heading for a downturn, says developer

    By Romesh Navaratnarajah:

    With a surge of new homes coming on to the market, Singapore’s housing sector will soon become a buyer’s market as developers continue to provide attractive incentives, according to experts.

    Chris Comer, CEO of Castlewood Group, the developer of Nikki Beach properties around Asia, said: “It’s going to be a renters’ market here for a very long time.”

    In a Wall Street Journal report, Singapore resident Comer reckoned that a downturn could hit Singapore in the next 12 months, and “you’ll start to see properties resold for less than they paid for them”.

    Other analysts do not see a bubble, but have warned of an oversupply instead, which will likely cut prices and rents.

    In an earlier report, Nomura said that 16,000 new private homes would be delivered in the next three quarters compared with 2,408 in Q1.

    “Supply is likely to outstrip demand and vacancy (and rents) will likely come under more pressure in the coming quarters.”

    Concurring, Daiwa analyst David Lum acknowledged the possibility of a supply glut, highlighting that some 86,000 private homes were in the pipeline by end-2012. This is in addition to the influx of HDB flats set to enter the market between 2014 to 2016.

    He added that this would lead to an 18 percent decline in mass market home prices and 20 percent in the luxury segment through to end-2015.



    Romesh Navaratnarajah, Senior Editor at PropertyGuru, wrote this story. To contact him about this or other stories email [email protected]




  2. #2
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    just a matter of time but there are those who think otherwise!

  3. #3
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    Smacking my lips. It's time!
    The three laws of Kelonguni:

    Where there is kelong, there is guni.
    No kelong no guni.
    More kelong = more guni.

  4. #4
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    Hi...this is why I think a crash is imminent.

  5. #5
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    English lesson: a DOWNTURN is different from a CRASH.

    Quote Originally Posted by yowetan
    Hi...this is why I think a crash is imminent.

  6. #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by shareidiot
    English lesson: a DOWNTURN is different from a CRASH.

    CPF and IRAS has first claim over banks, the worst hit in a property crash is none other than private banks....
    狮子王 (formerly blackjack21trader): READ MY LIPS: NO MORE CRASH FOR 60 YEARS.

  7. #7
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    Planning to buy my 3rd property in 2 years times =]

  8. #8
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    Hope crash faster come then I can buy a D9 condo at dirt cheap price, even with ABSD, is worth it!!!

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    Quote Originally Posted by henryhk
    Hope crash faster come then I can buy a D9 condo at dirt cheap price, even with ABSD, is worth it!!!
    If all of you are waiting to buy them, how can a crash come?

  10. #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by lionhill
    If all of you are waiting to buy them, how can a crash come?

    Only 6 months ago, everyone wants to buy gold....
    狮子王 (formerly blackjack21trader): READ MY LIPS: NO MORE CRASH FOR 60 YEARS.

  11. #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by lionhill
    If all of you are waiting to buy them, how can a crash come?

    More people want to sell and not that many want to buy as most have already jumped in and used up their savings, buying at a high price.

  12. #12
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rlin
    More people want to sell and not that many want to buy as most have already jumped in and used up their savings, buying at a high price.

    Herd instinct. McDonalds Hello kitty toys also many people want to buy at one time.
    狮子王 (formerly blackjack21trader): READ MY LIPS: NO MORE CRASH FOR 60 YEARS.

  13. #13
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    this thread simply shows that the peak is not near
    Ride at your own risk !!!

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    Quote Originally Posted by sgbuyer
    CPF and IRAS has first claim over banks, the worst hit in a property crash is none other than private banks....
    That is why the government already enforce a safety net for the bank. SSD... How to sell? First year is 16%.. Second year is 12%... Third year is 8%.. By then housing should pick up again... So before that all lian lian have to hold and pay interest

  15. #15
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    SAYs which Developer?

    http://forums.condosingapore.com/showthread.php?t=17715

    Government to release five residential sites estimated to
    yield 2,725 housing units in May 2013
    To provide developers and home-buyers with more choices for private housing, the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) and Housing & Development Board (HDB) will be releasing five sites for sale in May 2013 under the Government Land Sales Programme (GLS) for 1st half 2013 (1H2013).
    Together, these five sites can yield about 2,725 residential units.
    The land parcel at Tampines Avenue 10 (Parcel B) is launched for sale today under the Confirmed List. The remaining four land parcels at Toa Payoh Lorong 6, Prince Charles Crescent (Parcel B), Siglap Road and Geylang East Avenue 1 are made available today for application on the Reserve List.
    More details on the land parcels can be found in Annex 1 and the location plans in Annex 2.
    Other Details
    Tender for the residential site at Tampines Avenue 10 (Parcel B) will close at 12 noon on 2 July 2013. Selection of the successful tenderer will be based on the tendered land price only.
    More details on the land parcels are available on the respective URA and HDB websites at:
    (Tampines Avenue 10 (Parcel B))
    http://www.ura.gov.sg/sales/Tampines...intro(CL).html
    (Toa Payoh Lorong 6)
    http://www.hdb.gov.sg/fi10/fi10330p....4?OpenDocument
    (Prince Charles Crescent (Parcel B))
    http://www.ura.gov.sg/sales/PCharles...intro(MA).html
    (Siglap Road)
    http://www.ura.gov.sg/sales/Siglap/M...intro(MA).html
    (Geylang East Avenue 1)
    http://www.ura.gov.sg/sales/GeylangE...intro(MA).html

  16. #16
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    Quote Originally Posted by yowetan
    Hi...this is why I think a crash is imminent.
    U wait long long.
    “Nothing in the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity.”
    ― Martin Luther King, Jr.

    OUT WITH THE SHIT TRASH

    https://www.facebook.com/shutdowntrs

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    Quote Originally Posted by RCT
    That is why the government already enforce a safety net for the bank. SSD... How to sell? First year is 16%.. Second year is 12%... Third year is 8%.. By then housing should pick up again... So before that all lian lian have to hold and pay interest

    Then it will depend on the loan agreement if bank has the right to lelong the property if borrower can't top up margin or pay installment even if first year.

    Government won't complain since they can earn 16%.
    狮子王 (formerly blackjack21trader): READ MY LIPS: NO MORE CRASH FOR 60 YEARS.

  18. #18
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    Drop more buy more...
    In the final analysis.....its NOT whether you have a diploma,degree,masters OR PHD....its whether you have a HDB/PC/EC or LANDED...

  19. #19
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    Quote Originally Posted by RCT
    That is why the government already enforce a safety net for the bank. SSD... How to sell? First year is 16%.. Second year is 12%... Third year is 8%.. By then housing should pick up again... So before that all lian lian have to hold and pay interest
    I oso lan lan have to pay the "low interest" for my 3rd pty..
    Oh sorry.. I meaning paying by my tenant.. instalment with interest.. & balance goes to my pocket..

  20. #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by Arcachon
    SAYs which Developer?

    http://forums.condosingapore.com/showthread.php?t=17715

    Government to release five residential sites estimated to
    yield 2,725 housing units in May 2013
    To provide developers and home-buyers with more choices for private housing, the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) and Housing & Development Board (HDB) will be releasing five sites for sale in May 2013 under the Government Land Sales Programme (GLS) for 1st half 2013 (1H2013).
    Together, these five sites can yield about 2,725 residential units.
    The land parcel at Tampines Avenue 10 (Parcel B) is launched for sale today under the Confirmed List. The remaining four land parcels at Toa Payoh Lorong 6, Prince Charles Crescent (Parcel B), Siglap Road and Geylang East Avenue 1 are made available today for application on the Reserve List.
    More details on the land parcels can be found in Annex 1 and the location plans in Annex 2.
    Other Details
    Tender for the residential site at Tampines Avenue 10 (Parcel B) will close at 12 noon on 2 July 2013. Selection of the successful tenderer will be based on the tendered land price only.
    More details on the land parcels are available on the respective URA and HDB websites at:
    (Tampines Avenue 10 (Parcel B))
    http://www.ura.gov.sg/sales/Tampines...intro(CL).html
    (Toa Payoh Lorong 6)
    http://www.hdb.gov.sg/fi10/fi10330p....4?OpenDocument
    (Prince Charles Crescent (Parcel B))
    http://www.ura.gov.sg/sales/PCharles...intro(MA).html
    (Siglap Road)
    http://www.ura.gov.sg/sales/Siglap/M...intro(MA).html
    (Geylang East Avenue 1)
    http://www.ura.gov.sg/sales/GeylangE...intro(MA).html
    Since sales drop, implies that developers might have hard time selling off their units and yet govt still keep releasing the lands, so will the developers still willing to bid high high for the lands? If this is so, isn't the govt revenue will drop too, will this affect our economy?

  21. #21
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    Quote Originally Posted by radha08
    Drop more buy more...
    It will then become the rich man including those who are cash rich market, so the gap between the rich and poor will get wider and wider.

  22. #22
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    Stock market never crash how can property crash.

  23. #23
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    Quote Originally Posted by star
    Stock market never crash how can property crash.
    Because many of them wait & wait for the crash until the brain finally crashed

  24. #24
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    thats why i said, no more CMs....let them sell the lands and developer is the first to signal that they full liao, then next will come is you will see less ppl going to buy @ iskandar. The first to hit should be there. a lot is multi property here and then because of CM all run there to invest. So if here got signal of slow down, activities will stop and immediately, there will be hit! just my opinion. anyway, dont think there is slow down for prolong period. lull period maybe. the CMs should be lifted one by one of our gate will be open!

  25. #25
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    What goes up must come down. In fact, this bull cycle has overrun already. Probably due to low interest environment.

  26. #26
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    Quote Originally Posted by 3C
    Because many of them wait & wait for the crash until the brain finally crashed
    I'm also waiting & waiting & waiting for mortgage rate to go up soon since End March..
    But while I'm still waiting.. the thread suddenly no sound no shadow.. By then the TS already go MIA..

    Mortgage rates in Singapore on the way up
    http://forums.condosingapore.com/showthread.php?t=17301
    Hong Kong banks increase interest rates for home loans
    http://forums.condosingapore.com/showthread.php?t=17215

    So just hope that this time round.. this thread can really make it..

  27. #27
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    Quote Originally Posted by star
    Stock market never crash how can property crash.
    classic reply
    Ride at your own risk !!!

  28. #28
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    Waiting for conservation shophouse prices to crash too.

  29. #29
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    Quote Originally Posted by yowetan
    Hi...this is why I think a crash is imminent.
    yowe,
    cheap haunted house waiting for grabs. house cleansing can be done later by powerful sifu. with so many foreign talent around its easily to rent them out. wander if you have the guts to step in to collect rents, are you ready for a change?

  30. #30
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    There are really loads of people waiting for the "crash" ...
    But what needs to come before a crash, stk mkt crash .. Attrition up .. Etc...
    When there's crash most will not even dare to make a move ..

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